ENROLLMENT GROWTH SCENARIOS

After a review of possible growth rates based upon population growth, improved capture and retention and other factors, the Master Plan recommends a 20-year annual enrollment growth rate of 2.7%; this is consistent with USHE projections. 2.7% annual enrollment growth, with the concurrent goal of increasing online/distance education enrollment to 25% of total enrollment, results in a total enrollment increase of approximately 9,200 full-time equivalent students by 2028, with a facilities need for approximately 462,000 gross square feet of additional space college-wide. This includes development of new sites as well as new facilities on existing sites.

	Fall FTE 1.3% per year WEPC projection	Fall FTE 1.5% per year matches county growth	Fall FTE 1.85% per year optimizes utilization of existing sites (120%)	Fall FTE 2.7% per year USHE projections	Fall FTE 3.75% per year optimizes owned sites	Fall FTE 5.4% per year 2x USHE projections
2028 TOTAL FTEs	16,929	17,610	18,865	22,277	27,303	37,433
2028 Total On Campus (75%)	12,697 FTEs	13,208 FTEs	14,149 FTEs	16,708 FTEs	20,477 FTEs	28,075 FTEs
2028 Total Distance (25%)	4,232 FTEs	4,403 FTEs	4,716 FTEs	5,569 FTEs	6,826 FTEs	9,358 FTEs
New On Campus FTEs	888 FTEs	1,399 FTEs	2,340 FTEs	4,899 FTEs	7,547 FTEs	16,266 FTEs
New Distance FTEs	2,966 FTEs	3,137 FTEs	3,450 FTEs	4,303 FTEs	5,560 FTEs	8,092 FTEs
New On Campus Space Need	0 GSF	0 GSF	0 GSF	380,507 GSF	945,921 GSF	2,085,586 GSF
New Distance Space Need	0 GSF	0 GSF	64,326 GSF	81,383 GSF	106,513 GSF	157,165 GSF
2028 New Space Need	0 GSF	0 GSF	64,326 GSF	461,891 GSF	1,138,500 GSF	2,242,750 GSF
2028 Total Space Need	2,162,579 GSF	2,162,579 GSF	2,226,905 GSF	2,624,470 GSF	3,301,079 GSF	4,405,329 GSF
Total GSF/ FTE	127.7 GSF/ FTE	122.8 GSF/ FTE	118.0 GSF/ FTE	117.8 GSF/ FTE	120.9 GSF/ FTE	117.7 GSF/ FTE