ENROLLMENT GROWTH SCENARIOS

 

After a review of possible growth rates based upon population growth, improved capture and retention and other factors, the Master Plan has targeted a 20-year annual enrollment growth rate of 2.7 %. This 2.7% annual enrollment growth, with the concurrent goal of increasing online/distance education enrollment to 25% of total enrollment, results in a total enrollment increase of approximately 9,200 full-time equivalent students by 2028, with a facilities need for approximately 462,000 gross square feet of additional space college-wide. This includes development of new sites as well as new facilities on existing sites.

  Fall FTE 1.3% per year
WEPC projection
Fall FTE 1.5% per year
matches county growth
Fall FTE 1.85% per year
optimizes utilization of existing sites (120%)
Fall FTE 2.7% per year
USHE projections
Fall FTE 3.75% per year
optimizes owned sites
Fall FTE 5.4% per year
2x USHE projections
2028 TOTAL FTEs
16,929 17,610 18,865 22,277 27,303 37,433
2028 Total On Campus (75%) 12,697 FTEs 13,208 FTEs 14,149 FTEs 16,708 FTEs 20,477 FTEs 28,075 FTEs
2028 Total Distance (25%) 4,232 FTEs 4,403 FTEs 4,716 FTEs 5,569 FTEs 6,826 FTEs 9,358 FTEs
New On Campus FTEs 888 FTEs 1,399 FTEs 2,340 FTEs 4,899 FTEs 7,547 FTEs 16,266 FTEs
New Distance FTEs 2,966 FTEs 3,137 FTEs 3,450 FTEs 4,303 FTEs 5,560 FTEs 8,092 FTEs
New On Campus Space Need 0 GSF 0 GSF 0 GSF 380,507 GSF 945,921 GSF 2,085,586 GSF
New Distance Space Need 0 GSF 0 GSF 64,326 GSF 81,383 GSF 106,513 GSF 157,165 GSF
2028 New Space Need 0 GSF 0 GSF 64,326 GSF 461,891 GSF 1,138,500 GSF 2,242,750 GSF
2028 Total Space Need 2,162,579 GSF 2,162,579 GSF 2,226,905 GSF 2,624,470 GSF 3,301,079 GSF 4,405,329 GSF
Total GSF/ FTE 127.7 GSF/ FTE 122.8 GSF/ FTE 118.0 GSF/ FTE 117.8 GSF/ FTE 120.9 GSF/ FTE 117.7 GSF/ FTE